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My Best and Worst Calls So Far in 2013

Financial media isn’t known for transparency or honesty, so I try to be as straightforward as I can with my punditry. And while clearly I have a bias in my own favor and don’t like to make myself look needlessly stupid, I always try to revisit my picks regularly to share the best and worst stock advice I’ve given.

It’s been a good 2013 so far for me, and while a lot of that has to do with the market updraft I have a number of calls I’m proud of.

For instance, each December, we offer a list of buy-and-hold stocks for investors with the idea of purchasing on Jan. 1 and holding until Jan. 1 the following year. This year my pick was Intel (INTC), based on the potential of a value buy amid overly negative post-PC haters and the juicy dividend of 4%. With a total return of 17% so far in 2013, I’m outperforming the market handily — and leading all comers, I might add. (Check out my original Intel call here and read up on the Best Stocks for 2013 Buy List.)

I also have been very bullish on housing, and bearish on gold as well as China (here and here), so I feel like I’ve made some decent macro calls in addition to stocks. But obviously if you made one trade based on my recommendations and it was a dud, then you have a different experience.

At any rate, here’s the best I can offer as “disclosure” and a track record for the first half. Often I don’t make overt calls so I didn’t count those, and some recent advice such as this week’s bearish call on Oracle (ORCL) obviously need time to play out.

But here’s the worst and the best of what I’ve done in 2013:

Worst Calls

I’ll just offer the date, stock, performance and link to original call — sparing myself the indignity of hashing out why I made a call on the wrong side.

Best Calls

Same drill — stock call and performance with a link. If you want more detail, click through:

Here’s my recap from six months ago, too, if you want to review those as well and extrapolate the data on your own.

Anyway, it’s not perfect but hopefully is representative of my work. Please reach out with any questions — and feel free to call me to the carpet in the future if my advice leads you astray.

Jeff Reeves is the editor of and the author of “The Frugal Investor’s Guide to Finding Great Stocks.” Write him at or follow him on Twitter via @JeffReevesIP

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